I’ve tried all week to not blog about the worst play call in Super Bowl history, but my resistance has been defeated.
Over a week may have gone by since the Seahawks Pete Carroll and his braintrust oddly decided to pass their way to a repeat Super Bowl Championship.
We all know the outcome. My opinion? Well it’s really a two-part discussion.
The first and the easy part is that it was a very bad call. There are so many arguments to run the ball that I couldn’t take inventory of them in one breath.
The second and much more complex part is trying to understand the why. It’s always easier to analyze a situation when you hypothesize putting yourself in the other person’s shoes. To do so, I would ask you to assess moments in time when presented with a choice that has to be made quickly, which will end up having a significant consequence on the rest of your life. The latter component being so crucial to this simulation because despite what Coach Carroll and his QB Russell Wilson have proclaimed, that decision will define them forever.
To begin the exercise I want you to think of a similar situation in your life. While I don’t expect any flashbacks to rival the stage of a Super Bowl, I do expect your examples to have been in circumstances that were similar. Circumstances that included the endurance challenge of being againizingly close to the end of a very long journey; circumstances that included the guard lowering challenge of you expecting a positive outcome; circumstances that included you believing you were fully prepared; and circumstances that that included facing an adversary that had nothing to lose.
Let’s continue.
Hold up the decision you’re reflecting upon and review it from the four angles identified above and compare it to the circumstances of the Super Bowl.
1. Both teams were tired. There was no question. It had been a disturbingly violent affair. Often we have to deal with tough decisions, or even not so apparently tough decisions, at the 11th hour. You have to wonder how much fatigue factored in to one Seahawk receiver not executing his “rub” route very well, to the Seahakws QB being late with the throw, to the Seahawks intended receiver not making a strong effort on the ball. Lesson 1 – At the end of a long journey, stick with what got you there as it will require less energy to execute. (Translation – Run the Ball!)
2. Twice the Seahwaks thought they had the game won. First was midway through the 4th Quarter when they held a 10 point lead and secondly when they had the fateful 2nd and goal. They let their guard down. Twice. The first time was their passive play in the 4th, which saw them fall behind, the second was after their receiver made a miraculous juggling catch while prone on the turf. They somehow felt unstoppable. They were already celebrating. They felt invincible. Lesson 2 – Make all decisions like your back is against the wall. (Translation – Celeberate AFTER the game!)
3. The Seahawks felt like this play was a shrewd call. They felt their opponent was expecting a run and this pass play would catch them unprepared. In fact, it had worked before for the Seahawks. That’s the bad news. The Patriots also knew it had worked earlier in the season for the Seahawks. So much so they substituted in the player who would make the game clinching INT based on the Seahawks substitutions. Butler, the interceptor, had practiced against that play during Super Bowl week and was crictized by his coaches when beaten on it in practice. He knew what was coming, he wasn’t going to let it happen again. Lesson 3 – If you think you’re better prepared than your opponent, you’re not. (Translation – That’s BILL Belichik over there!)
4. The aforementioned Butler, the interceptor, wasn’t just a hero, but he was the potential goat and victim of the miraculous Seahawks catch just a couple of plays earlier. He understood the satiation, it was second and goal. He took a risk jumping the route to try to get a pick. The reward? A Super Bowl victory. The risk? Pass interference? Which would have resulted in half yard penalty and an extra down. Yes that may have sealed the Pats defeat, but if he doesn’t play aggressively they lose anyway. Lesson 4 – Take calculated risks where the reward outweighs the potential downside. (Translation – BOUNCE back quickly!)
Recreating this four-sided picture of your situation, provides new tools to attack the next decision. If the Hawks had done so, they may have won. Instead the Patriots beat them on all four parameters and emerged triumphant.
We are fortunate that in our lives we don’t have hundreds of millions of people watching, and thousands of experts analyzing, every decision we make. However when do screw up, it can feel equally as devasting as the Seahawks botched play call. This sequence of events provided more than a lifetime of spirited debate. It provided a playbook to prepare for the biggest and smallest calls we will be facing in whatever stadium you toil in.